Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1308.300624 1510.848456 1745.055574 2038.423574 2399.646291 2834.615343 3.405321e+03
2024-12-22 1017.059872 1268.215482 1590.434371 2043.844840 2681.854594 3574.412719 4.969376e+03
2024-12-29 880.129869 1151.770551 1524.362725 2091.326987 2968.057513 4340.287135 6.808726e+03
2025-01-05 751.257336 1016.289032 1397.166689 2010.282271 3027.424880 4764.696215 8.273498e+03
2025-01-12 658.152318 914.313996 1296.615361 1941.409707 3077.174525 5172.580583 9.884708e+03
2025-01-19 583.222625 827.862150 1204.428751 1864.749715 3088.953286 5506.313990 1.150831e+04
2025-01-26 555.362847 808.652999 1213.189123 1956.949289 3426.734316 6594.646148 1.559043e+04
2025-02-02 523.654698 778.903664 1199.472223 2004.892193 3688.873945 7621.428708 2.034108e+04
2025-02-09 491.400971 744.291206 1172.256214 2021.507618 3888.735704 8583.525046 2.582127e+04
2025-02-16 458.480586 704.982813 1131.588153 2004.141209 4008.204248 9390.958262 3.166328e+04
2025-02-23 440.838265 689.820994 1132.146252 2069.883844 4340.468374 10962.987725 4.306536e+04
2025-03-02 427.438586 680.547143 1142.104014 2156.852253 4752.277914 13023.767080 6.117697e+04
2025-03-09 409.185262 661.704001 1133.197257 2205.001623 5091.134907 15118.812079 8.594673e+04
2025-03-16 387.102515 633.999547 1104.036718 2202.675024 5293.311037 16878.679739 1.152512e+05
2025-03-23 372.672748 619.125271 1098.709562 2255.879159 5681.458026 19755.598241 1.721596e+05
2025-03-30 346.645787 580.089105 1039.491724 2166.386483 5593.177948 20390.806470 2.052801e+05
2025-04-06 324.274447 546.476016 988.542880 2090.495363 5531.469144 21154.667574 2.487021e+05
2025-04-13 303.171709 513.915361 937.025130 2006.109062 5420.630862 21613.590518 2.932718e+05
2025-04-20 298.711406 513.627477 954.839121 2107.612609 6004.176928 26694.101035 5.496718e+05
2025-04-27 290.669869 505.533966 954.622624 2160.450396 6433.563389 31470.527272 9.959785e+05
2025-05-04 280.725812 492.836298 942.785074 2178.771161 6738.310107 35882.447502 1.779501e+06
2025-05-11 269.016206 475.716290 919.263000 2159.622442 6883.949567 39322.148755 3.012883e+06
2025-05-18 263.865528 471.827615 926.066956 2232.138392 7465.100754 47891.852805 9.092105e+06